Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 5.024012e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009
2025-04-20 4.234512e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011
2025-04-27 3.726982e-06 0.000005 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000013
2025-05-04 3.293092e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016
2025-05-11 2.978849e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019
2025-05-18 2.700177e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-05-25 2.483482e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025
2025-06-01 2.254007e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028
2025-06-08 2.089730e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032
2025-06-15 1.957800e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000037
2025-06-22 1.804724e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000041
2025-06-29 1.686314e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000046
2025-07-06 1.554592e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000050
2025-07-13 1.464793e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000058
2025-07-20 1.400364e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000068
2025-07-27 1.327158e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000013 0.000028 0.000078
2025-08-03 1.270867e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000031 0.000091
2025-08-10 1.210728e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000033 0.000105
2025-08-17 1.161065e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000036 0.000122
2025-08-24 1.095950e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000038 0.000135
2025-08-31 1.049267e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000015 0.000040 0.000154
2025-09-07 1.010460e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000015 0.000043 0.000179
2025-09-14 9.570446e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000045 0.000197